GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/25/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swit · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Swit are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Swit holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swit

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Swit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SwitLWDDW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Warta SieradzWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SwitWarta Sieradz
0.0Attack42.2
100.0Defence52.9
33.3Form43.1
45.3Power47.4
1.49xG1.16
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