Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Swit are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Łomża are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Swit hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Swit holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Swit
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Swit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60