Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Swit are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Łomża are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Swit hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Swit holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Swit
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Swit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00