Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Swit are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Łomża are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Swit hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Swit holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Swit
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Swit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20