GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Swit are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Olimpia Elbląg are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Swit hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Swit holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swit

Probability

54.2%

Model confidence

54.2%

Swit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SwitLDLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Olimpia ElblągLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SwitOlimpia Elbląg
0.0Attack42.2
100.0Defence37.3
33.3Form34.3
45.3Power40.2
2.03xG1.14
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