GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/9/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Swit are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Legionovia Legionowo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Swit hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Swit holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swit

Probability

61.0%

Model confidence

61.0%

Swit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SwitLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Legionovia LegionowoLLDDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SwitLegionovia Legionowo
0.0Attack40.2
100.0Defence30.4
33.3Form26.5
45.3Power34.1
2.29xG1.07
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