GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Swit 2-7 ŁKS Łódź II

Original prediction

Swit

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6853.9%44.3%-9.7 pts
Draw3.9223.0%27.0%4.0 pts
Away3.9223.0%28.7%5.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

Swit

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Swit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SwitWWWLL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ŁKS Łódź IIDWDWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SwitŁKS Łódź II
41.7Attack33.3
83.3Defence66.7
41.7Form33.3
54.1Power45.3
1.61xG1.16
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