Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Swit are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bełchatów are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60