Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Swit are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bełchatów are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60