GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/28/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

West Ham United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Swindon Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while West Ham United U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and West Ham United U21 hold a 61.4-point power-rating edge (18.5 v 79.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.3% in the EFL Trophy, while West Ham United U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

West Ham United U21

Probability

70.3%

Model confidence

70.3%

West Ham United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon TownDDLWW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
West Ham United U21LWWDL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Swindon TownWest Ham United U21
22.2Attack86.7
11.1Defence80.0
11.1Form80.0
18.5Power79.9
1.07xG2.89
View match centre →