GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/5/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tottenham Hotspur U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Swindon Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tottenham Hotspur U21 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tottenham Hotspur U21 hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (18.5 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Tottenham Hotspur U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tottenham Hotspur U21

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

47.5%

Tottenham Hotspur U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon TownDLLWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tottenham Hotspur U21LDLLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Swindon TownTottenham Hotspur U21
22.2Attack77.8
11.1Defence22.2
11.1Form33.3
18.5Power41.2
1.72xG2.30
View match centre →