Swindon Townvs
Reading
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/2/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Swindon Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Reading are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Reading hold a 59.1-point power-rating edge (18.5 v 77.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Reading holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Reading
Probability
70.4%
Model confidence
70.4%
Reading has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20