Swindon Townvs
Peterborough
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 12/2/2025, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Swindon Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Peterborough are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 62.6-point power-rating edge (18.5 v 81.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Peterborough
Probability
74.7%
Model confidence
74.7%
Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80