Swindon Townvs
Newport County
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swindon Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Swindon Town 0-2 Newport County
Original prediction
Swindon Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Swindon Town
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Swindon Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Swindon TownLDLWD
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Newport CountyWLWDL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Swindon TownNewport County
22.2Attack22.2
77.8Defence11.1
33.3Form11.1
45.5Power18.5
2.06xG1.10