Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Tuesday, 28 July 2026Last updated 12:36
Swindon Town

Swindon Town

Home
L
21
Full time
Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient

Away
WW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Leyton Orient33%
Swindon Town33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Swindon Town
33%
Draw
33%
Leyton Orient
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Swindon Town
9
Leyton Orient
94
Defence
Swindon Town
66
Leyton Orient
82
Momentum
Swindon Town
0
Leyton Orient
100
Danger (xG)
Swindon Town
0.00
Leyton Orient
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Swindon Town)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Leyton Orient)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Swindon Town)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Leyton Orient)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Swindon TownSwindon Town
L
Leyton OrientLeyton Orient
WW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Swindon Town33%
Draw33%
Leyton Orient33%

Leyton Orient leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Swindon Town head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while Leyton Orient arrive in decent form (WW). Swindon Town have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Leyton Orient over 2 games.

Tactically, Leyton Orient hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a solid Swindon Town defence (66/100), while Swindon Town's attack faces a watertight Leyton Orient backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Swindon Town have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Leyton Orient have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Swindon Town and Leyton Orient in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Swindon Town 3333%, Draw 3333%, Leyton Orient 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Swindon Town

Swindon Town

L
vs Chippenham Town
14 Jul 2026
01
Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient

W
@ Lincoln
17 Jul 2026
20
W
@ Enfield Town
10 Jul 2026
41

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Swindon Town vs Leyton Orient?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Swindon Town vs Leyton Orient?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Swindon Town vs Leyton Orient?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Swindon Town vs Leyton Orient?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more