Swindon Townvs
Exeter City
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/21/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swindon Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Swindon Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Exeter City are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 18.5 against 17.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Swindon Town holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Swindon Town
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Swindon Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20