Swindon Townvs
Crewe
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swindon Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Swindon Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Crewe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Crewe hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the League Two, while Swindon Town holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Swindon Town
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Swindon Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40