Swindon TownvsBristol Rovers

Swindon Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bristol Rovers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol Rovers hold a 34.8-point power-rating edge (18.5 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Bristol Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.