Swindon Townvs
Birmingham
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 1/14/2025, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Swindon Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Birmingham are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Birmingham hold a 56.1-point power-rating edge (18.5 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Birmingham holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Birmingham
Probability
76.1%
Model confidence
76.1%
Birmingham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20