GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/15/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Winchester City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineWLLDL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Winchester CityDDWLL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Swindon SupermarineWinchester City
57.9Attack50.0
27.0Defence46.8
38.9Form45.2
42.8Power48.2
1.97xG2.05
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