GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/27/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Winchester City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineLWLWD

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Winchester CityWLWLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Swindon SupermarineWinchester City
57.9Attack50.0
27.0Defence46.8
38.9Form45.2
42.8Power48.2
1.97xG2.05
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