GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/12/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swindon Supermarine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Tiverton Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tiverton Town hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Swindon Supermarine holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swindon Supermarine

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Swindon Supermarine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineLLDLW

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tiverton TownDLWWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Swindon SupermarineTiverton Town
57.9Attack50.8
27.0Defence41.3
38.9Form41.3
42.8Power46.1
2.19xG2.07
View match centre →