GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/2/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swindon Supermarine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Tiverton Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tiverton Town hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Swindon Supermarine holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swindon Supermarine

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Swindon Supermarine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineWLLDD

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Tiverton TownLWLWL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Swindon SupermarineTiverton Town
57.9Attack50.8
27.0Defence41.3
38.9Form41.3
42.8Power46.1
2.19xG2.07
View match centre →