GGOALVIO

England · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swindon Supermarine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Slimbridge are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Slimbridge hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the FA Trophy, while Swindon Supermarine holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swindon Supermarine

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Swindon Supermarine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineLDDWW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SlimbridgeLD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Swindon SupermarineSlimbridge
50.0Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
45.8Power50.0
1.70xG1.57
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