GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/10/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sholing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Sholing are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 40.5-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sholing

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SholingLWDLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Swindon SupermarineSholing
57.9Attack33.3
27.0Defence100.0
38.9Form100.0
42.8Power83.3
1.54xG2.15
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