GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/11/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sholing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sholing are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 40.5-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sholing

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineWLLDD

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SholingWWDDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Swindon SupermarineSholing
57.9Attack33.3
27.0Defence100.0
38.9Form100.0
42.8Power83.3
1.54xG2.15
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