GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/30/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Salisbury are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

57.5%

Model confidence

57.5%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineDLWDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SalisburyLDWDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Swindon SupermarineSalisbury
57.9Attack55.6
27.0Defence63.5
38.9Form62.7
42.8Power62.5
1.30xG2.38
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