GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/7/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Poole Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineWDLLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Poole TownWWLWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Swindon SupermarinePoole Town
57.9Attack33.3
27.0Defence66.7
38.9Form50.0
42.8Power53.0
1.73xG1.97
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