GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/10/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

57.0%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineWWDLL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Merthyr TownWLWLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Swindon SupermarineMerthyr Town
57.9Attack67.5
27.0Defence53.2
38.9Form53.2
42.8Power57.2
1.69xG2.84
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