Swindon Supermarinevs
Merthyr Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/10/2024, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Swindon Supermarine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60