Swindon Supermarinevs
Merthyr Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/28/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Swindon Supermarine are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.20 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 21 · avg 1.20/4.20
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00