GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/1/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hungerford Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Hungerford Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hungerford Town hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hungerford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hungerford Town

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Hungerford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineDLLLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Hungerford TownLLLWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Swindon SupermarineHungerford Town
57.9Attack61.1
27.0Defence44.4
38.9Form50.8
42.8Power52.7
2.03xG2.54
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