GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/25/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swindon Supermarine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hayes & Yeading United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hayes & Yeading United hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Swindon Supermarine holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swindon Supermarine

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Swindon Supermarine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineDWLLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hayes & Yeading UnitedLDWDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Swindon SupermarineHayes & Yeading United
57.9Attack46.8
27.0Defence46.8
38.9Form36.5
42.8Power45.1
2.00xG1.90
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