GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/17/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swindon Supermarine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Harrow Borough are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Swindon Supermarine hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Swindon Supermarine holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swindon Supermarine

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

Swindon Supermarine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineLDDLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Harrow BoroughDWDLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Swindon SupermarineHarrow Borough
57.9Attack47.6
27.0Defence23.0
38.9Form31.0
42.8Power36.0
2.96xG1.89
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