GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swindon Supermarine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Gosport Borough are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Swindon Supermarine hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Swindon Supermarine holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swindon Supermarine

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Swindon Supermarine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineLLLWL

GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Gosport BoroughWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Swindon SupermarineGosport Borough
57.9Attack0.0
27.0Defence66.7
38.9Form0.0
42.8Power26.7
1.89xG1.75
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