GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/21/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swindon Supermarine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Gloucester City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Swindon Supermarine hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Swindon Supermarine holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swindon Supermarine

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Swindon Supermarine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Gloucester CityWLDWL

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Swindon SupermarineGloucester City
57.9Attack33.3
27.0Defence33.3
38.9Form0.0
42.8Power26.7
2.16xG1.79
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