GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/2/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swindon Supermarine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Dorchester Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Swindon Supermarine holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swindon Supermarine

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Swindon Supermarine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineDLLWW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dorchester TownLWLWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Swindon SupermarineDorchester Town
57.9Attack52.4
27.0Defence38.9
38.9Form47.6
42.8Power48.3
2.26xG2.16
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