GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/7/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Chesham United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

65.7%

Model confidence

65.7%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineLLDDW

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chesham UnitedDWWDW

GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Swindon SupermarineChesham United
57.9Attack65.9
27.0Defence63.5
38.9Form71.4
42.8Power67.2
1.28xG2.87
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