GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/18/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Chertsey Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 46.9-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

57.3%

Model confidence

57.3%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineWWLDL

GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Chertsey TownWLDWL

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Swindon SupermarineChertsey Town
57.9Attack83.3
27.0Defence83.3
38.9Form100.0
42.8Power89.7
1.52xG2.64
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