GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/23/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swindon Supermarine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bracknell Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Swindon Supermarine hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Swindon Supermarine holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swindon Supermarine

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Swindon Supermarine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineWLWWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bracknell TownDLLWL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Swindon SupermarineBracknell Town
57.9Attack50.0
27.0Defence0.0
38.9Form50.0
42.8Power34.5
2.18xG2.02
View match centre →