GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/26/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swindon Supermarine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Swindon Supermarine hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Swindon Supermarine holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swindon Supermarine

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Swindon Supermarine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineLLWWL

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Basingstoke TownDLWDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Swindon SupermarineBasingstoke Town
57.9Attack50.0
27.0Defence0.0
38.9Form0.0
42.8Power21.5
2.32xG1.90
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