GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/13/2024, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swindon Supermarine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Swindon Supermarine are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Swindon Supermarine hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Swindon Supermarine holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swindon Supermarine

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Swindon Supermarine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swindon SupermarineLWDDL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Basingstoke TownLLLWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Swindon SupermarineBasingstoke Town
57.9Attack50.0
27.0Defence0.0
38.9Form0.0
42.8Power21.5
2.32xG1.90
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