Swift Hesperangevs
Victoria Rosport
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Victoria Rosport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Swift Hesperange 0-3 Victoria Rosport
Original prediction
Victoria Rosport
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.58 | 11.9% | 24.6% | 12.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.83 | 18.8% | 20.8% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 69.3% | 54.6% | -14.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Victoria Rosport
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Victoria Rosport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 17 · avg 0.00/3.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00