Swift Hesperangevs
Résidence Walferdange
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Résidence Walferdange · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Swift Hesperange 0-3 Résidence Walferdange
Original prediction
Résidence Walferdange
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.44 | 12.1% | 16.7% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.54 | 16.3% | 18.9% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 71.6% | 64.4% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Résidence Walferdange
Probability
64.4%
Model confidence
64.4%
Résidence Walferdange has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 23 · avg 0.40/4.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40