Swedru All Blacksvs
Samartex
COMPLETEDGhana · Premier League · 9/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Swedru All Blacks 0-0 Samartex, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Swedru All Blacks 1-1 Samartex
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.6% | 33.3% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.75 | 32.5% | 31.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 25.8% | 34.9% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.75 · Draw 1.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Projected Score
Swedru All Blacks 0–0 Samartex
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.8%
Model confidence
34.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Swedru All BlacksDWLLD
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
SamartexDWWWL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Swedru All BlacksSamartex
11.1Attack55.6
88.9Defence77.8
44.4Form77.8
51.1Power72.8
0.78xG0.97