SwanseavsNorthampton

Swansea are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Northampton are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Swansea hold a 52.3-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the League Cup, while Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.