Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:07
Swansea

Swansea

Home
22
Full time
Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Swansea35%
Draw35%
Holstein Kiel30%
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Swansea
35%
Draw
35%
Holstein Kiel
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Holstein Kiel)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Holstein Kiel)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
WL

Probability breakdown

36% confidence
Swansea35%
Draw35%
Holstein Kiel30%

Swansea leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Swansea head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in unknown form, while Holstein Kiel arrive in mixed form (W).

Swansea have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Holstein Kiel have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Swansea and Holstein Kiel in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Swansea to win with 36% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Swansea 3518%, Draw 3500%, Holstein Kiel 2982%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

W
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
15 Jul 2026
41
L
@ Dynamo Dresden
17 May 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Swansea vs Holstein Kiel?

GoalVio's model predicts Swansea to win with 36% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Holstein Kiel?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Swansea vs Holstein Kiel?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Swansea vs Holstein Kiel?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more