Swansea Universityvs
Caerphilly Athletic
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 10/3/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swansea University · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Swansea University 3-1 Caerphilly Athletic
Original prediction
Swansea University
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–013%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.4–011%
Predicted outcome
Swansea University
Probability
75.5%
Model confidence
75.5%
Swansea University has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Swansea UniversityDWDWW
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Caerphilly AthleticLLDWW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Swansea UniversityCaerphilly Athletic
100.0Attack33.3
76.2Defence41.7
81.0Form33.3
83.2Power39.1
3.32xG0.68