Swansea City U21vs
Queens Park Rangers U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swansea City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Swansea City U21 4-2 Queens Park Rangers U21
Original prediction
Swansea City U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.5% | 43.8% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 21.5% | 25.9% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.0% | 30.2% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Swansea City U21
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Swansea City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80