GGOALVIO

England · Premier League Cup · 9/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swansea City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 4-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 4-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Swansea City U21 2-2 Huddersfield Town U21

Original prediction

Swansea City U21

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8548.8%66.6%17.9 pts
Draw4.1122.0%16.4%-5.5 pts
Away3.0929.3%16.9%-12.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

17.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.4–19%
  2. 2.3–19%
  3. 3.4–07%

Predicted outcome

Swansea City U21

Probability

66.6%

Model confidence

66.6%

Swansea City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Swansea City U21WLLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Huddersfield Town U21WWWWW

GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Swansea City U21Huddersfield Town U21
85.7Attack27.8
38.1Defence5.6
47.6Form27.8
54.2Power23.4
4.07xG1.22
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