Swansea City U21vs
Charlton Athletic U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 10/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swansea City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Swansea City U21 3-2 Charlton Athletic U21
Original prediction
Swansea City U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 17:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.1% | 46.4% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.31 | 21.1% | 24.6% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.8% | 29.0% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Swansea City U21
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Swansea City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20